基于记忆增强注意力网络的电动汽车能耗预测模型
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湖南工业大学交通与电气工程学院株洲412007

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TH7TM912TN713

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Energy consumption prediction model for electric vehicles based on memory-augmented attention network
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School of Transportation and Electrical Engineering,Hunan University of Technology, Zhuzhou 412007, China

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    摘要:

    针对电动汽车(EVs)长序列能耗预测中普遍存在的记忆衰减、注意力计算复杂度高以及动态工况适应能力不足等关键问题,提出一种基于记忆增强注意力网络的能耗预测模型(DQNAMAG)。该模型以记忆驱动智能网络(AMAG)为核心架构,构建短期记忆、长期神经记忆与持久记忆三级协同机制,通过惊喜因子驱动的衰减策略强化对电池衰减与工况突变等关键事件的建模能力,从而有效捕获长时序能耗特征的多尺度依赖关系。在此基础上,提出自适应Nystrm低秩注意力(ANSA)机制,基于Nystrm方法对注意力矩阵进行低秩近似,并引入自适应采样维度调节策略,将计算复杂度由O(T2)降低至O(T·r),显著提升长序列场景下的计算效率与实时性能。同时,引入自适应多尺度时空注意力机制(AMSTA)及超网络动态调参前向模型,实现路况图像与电池管理系统(BMS)时序数据的深度跨模态融合,增强模型对复杂环境变化的感知能力。进一步地,将AMAG嵌入强化学习框架,利用时间差分学习构建时序一致性正则,实现预测参数的自校准式优化。基于两类车型、五年实车运行数据的实验结果表明,在不同健康状态(SOH)条件下模型平均绝对误差(MAE)低于02%、均方根误差(RMSE)低于03%、决定系数(R2)高于995%,在长序列与电池衰减场景中均表现出优异的稳定性与泛化能力,整体性能显著优于Transformer、Informer、Mamba和LSTM等主流模型。

    Abstract:

    To address critical challenges in long-sequence energy consumption prediction for electric vehicles (EVs), including memory decay, high computational complexity of attention mechanisms, and insufficient adaptability to dynamic driving conditions, this paper proposes a memoryaugmented attentionbased prediction model termed deep Q networkadaptive memory augmented gating (DQNAMAG). The model is built upon an adaptive memoryaugmented gating (AMAG) network that incorporates a threelevel collaborative memory architecture consisting of shortterm memory, longterm neural memory, and persistent memory. A surprisedriven decay mechanism is introduced to enhance the modeling of battery degradation and abrupt operating condition variations, enabling effective capture of multiscale temporal dependencies in longhorizon energy consumption sequences. Furthermore, an adaptive Nystrm attention (ANSA) mechanism is developed to perform lowrank approximation of the attention matrix via the Nystrm method with adaptive sampling dimension adjustment. This reduces the computational complexity from O(T2) to O(T·r), significantly improving efficiency and realtime performance in longsequence scenarios. An adaptive multiscale spatiotemporal attention mechanism (AMSTA) mechanism and a hypernetworkbased dynamic forward model are additionally introduced to enhance deep crossmodal fusion between road condition images and battery management system (BMS) timeseries data, strengthening environmental perception capability. Moreover, the AMAG network is embedded into a reinforcement learning framework, where temporal difference learning provides temporalconsistency regularization and enables selfcalibrated parameter optimization. Experimental results based on five years of realvehicle operational data from two vehicle types demonstrate that the proposed model achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) below 02%, a root mean square error (RMSE) below 03%, and Rsquared (R2) above 995% under different stateofhealth (SOH) conditions. The model exhibits superior stability and generalization performance in long-sequence prediction and battery degradation scenarios, significantly outperforming mainstream models such as Transformer, Informer, Mamba, and LSTM.

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彭自然,杨肖阳,吴岳忠,潘长宁.基于记忆增强注意力网络的电动汽车能耗预测模型[J].仪器仪表学报,2026,47(4):278-288

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-08
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