基于组合赋权与神经网络的列车电磁兼容风险评估模型研究
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1.北京交通大学自动化与智能学院北京100044;2.中国工业互联网研究院北京100015; 3.中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司通信信号研究所北京100081

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TN03;U284.93

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国家自然科学基金(U2568201)项目资助


Research on train electromagnetic compatibility risk assessment model based on combined weighting and neural network
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1.School of Automation and Intelligence, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China; 2.China Academy of Industrial Internet, Beijing 100015, China; 3.Signal and Communication Research Institute, China Academy of Railway Sciences Corporation Limited, Beijing 100081, China

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    摘要:

    针对高速铁路信号系统电磁环境的复杂性,传统电磁兼容试验多以通过/不通过判据为主、难以支撑故障先兆识别和动态预警的问题,提出一种基于组合赋权与深度神经网络的列车电磁兼容风险评估模型。首先,依据电磁兼容三要素与风险形成机理,构建包含威胁性、脆弱性和后果3个维度的Cube风险评价体系,建立3层递进式评估模型架构。其次,采用层次分析法(AHP)-熵权法-博弈论组合赋权方法融合主客观权重,结合逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)与云模型构建静态评估模型,实现风险量化排序与不确定性表征。进一步,设计多层感知机电磁兼容风险预测网络,以14维工程特征为输入,输出4类运行场景下的综合风险物理量及云模型数字特征,实现未知工况下的风险动态预测。最后,以计轴设备为对象开展浪涌冲击骚扰试验,验证模型有效性,所构建的评估模型体系具有良好的可靠性与工程适用性,可为轨道交通电磁兼容风险管控提供定量决策支持。

    Abstract:

    A train electromagnetic compatibility risk assessment model based on combined weighting and deep neural networks is proposed to address the complex electromagnetic environment of high-speed railway signaling equipment and the limited capability of conventional pass/fail electromagnetic compatibility (EMC) tests in supporting fault precursor identification. First, a Cube risk evaluation system with threat, vulnerability, and consequence dimensions is established. A three-layer progressive assessment architecture is constructed. Second, subjective and objective weights are fused using analytic hierarchy process (AHP), entropy weight method, and game theory. A static assessment model is built by combining technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) and cloud model for risk ranking and uncertainty characterization. Third, a multilayer perceptron network is designed to output comprehensive risk physical quantities and cloud model features under four operation scenarios, enabling dynamic risk prediction under unknown conditions. Finally, surge immunity tests on axle counter equipment validate the model. The model’s discrimination of the optimal grounding scheme matches the measured results. The proposed model system has good reliability and engineering applicability, providing quantitative decision support for EMC risk management in rail transit.

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冯麟淞,闻映红,王心一,刘浩,张丹,李萌.基于组合赋权与神经网络的列车电磁兼容风险评估模型研究[J].电子测量与仪器学报,2026,40(8):158-170

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-13
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