基于改进型Informer的应用性能多步预测与在线异常监控系统
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1.南京信息工程大学计算机学院 南京 210044; 2.无锡学院物联网工程学院 无锡 214105; 3.苏州科技大学电子与信息工程学院 苏州 215009)

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TP391;TN915

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江苏省高等学校基础科学(自然科学)研究面上项目(25KJB520046)资助


Multi-step prediction and online anomaly monitoring system for application performance based on an improved Informer
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1.School of Computer Science, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China; 2.School of Internet of Things Engineering, Wuxi University, Wuxi 214105, China; 3.School of Electronic and Information Engineering, Suzhou University of Science and Technology, Suzhou 215009, China

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    摘要:

    面向云原生场景下多指标、强波动的应用性能时序,提出一种基于改进型Informer的预测—监控一体化方法与系统。在编码端引入上下文感知可逆归一化(CA-RevIN)以抑制跨时段分布漂移,结合多频段卷积增强(MFBCEM)与长时依赖聚合(LTA)实现多尺度建模,采用生成式解码器输出多步预测。系统侧构建数据采集、特征治理、推理服务与可视化告警闭环,利用峰超阈(POT)与自适应残差阈值实现分级异常检测与提前预警。在公开数据集与真实业务数据上,所提方案较长短期记忆(LSTM)、门控循环单元(GRU)及原始Informer在多步误差与稳定性上均有提升,并显著降低误报与漏报。

    Abstract:

    For volatile multi-metric application performance time series in cloud-native environments, we propose an integrated forecasting and monitoring method and system based on an enhanced Informer. At the encoder side, context-aware reversible normalization (CA-RevIN) is introduced to mitigate distribution shifts, while multi-frequency band convolutional enhancement (MFBCEM) and long-term dependency aggregation (LTA) are used for multi-scale modeling. A generative decoder produces multi-step forecasts. On the system side, a closed-loop architecture is built for data acquisition, feature governance, inference and alerting. Peaks-over-threshold (POT) and adaptive residual thresholds enable hierarchical anomaly detection and early warning. Experiments on public datasetsand real production data show that the proposed approach outperforms LSTM, GRU and the vanilla Informer in multi-step prediction accuracy and stability, while reducing false positives and missed detections.

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陈祺东,钱家昊,吴豪,叶广飞,张松洋.基于改进型Informer的应用性能多步预测与在线异常监控系统[J].电子测量技术,2026,49(13):13-26

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-09-08
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